Fantasy Football Fact or Luck: Who Could Be an Unexpected Playoff Champion?

It seems to happen every year. You drafted a great fantasy team in August that was set to dominate the Week 15-17 stretch – only to get to the end and realize that bad defenses are actually good and the players you expected to save for your season are going to replace players you’ve never heard of. Welcome to the playoffs. The 15th week was wilder than usual β€” or perhaps it just felt that way as the blows arrived during an extra day of work on Saturday.

If you survive the recession games like stars Nick Chubb, Davant Adams, Stephon Diggs, Mark Andrews And the DeAndre Hopkins Or if you trust emerging fictional origins like Zonovan Knight, Chris Olaf, Drake London or Isiah PachecoGood for you, good for you. The question arises as we approach week 16, who should you trust? It makes sense not to be overly strict, as in “start your nails no matter what,” but it’s also imperative to take calculated risks and not tie your season to one exceptional performance.

Let’s take a look at some of the names that could cause tough fantasy decisions for playoff managers in Weeks 16 and 17.

Veterans is getting hotter

Jerrick McKinnon, RB Kansas City President

I feel like Kansas City always has a downside to the fictional community that they root for and this guy never gets a chance to be cool. Instead, we get something like McKinnon’s late-season greatness. The hardest thing for me as a fantasy player To get over what I want to happen And the Accept what is happening with a team or player. Isiah Pacheco had more carries than McKinnon in Week 15, and were level at one carry each in the red. However, McKinnon’s turn in the passing game is just a huge boon to his fantasy output. Last week against the Texans may have been the Chiefs’ most reliable backfield spot, but next week against the Seahawks is the next best. Use McKinnon and Pacheco as needed.

Jones, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are frustrating to write about. Several experts were all involved in coaching and personnel changes to start the season, but the team was immediately disappointed. The defense gave some sparks of hope, but the offense was woefully inconsistent. When they’re good, they’re great for the imagination, and I’m sure everyone here can recount the weeks when Christian Kirk Or Jones won their competition for them. Kirk leads the fantasy points this season, but over the last three games, Zee Jones has had four touchdowns to Kirk’s zero touchdowns. Kirk still gets eight touchdowns per game and averages about 80 yards during that span, but Jones is crushing in the end zone.

Hopefully I won’t have to count on any of the Jags’ receivers this Thursday versus the Jets, because New York’s defense is legit (they allowed the third fewest fantasy points to wide receivers) and it’s also likely to be a lower-point game.

Latavious Murray/Marlon Mack, RBS, Denver Broncos

If there were ever a category of Hall of Fame to appear on the bench, Murray would be the man to enter it. And when it’s his turn, he takes advantage. He rushed 24 times for 130 yards and a score, averaging 5.4 yards per carry in the win over Arizona. He also caught one pass for 12 yards. Mack participated, with four catches for four targets and one rushing touchdown on five carries. Mack averaged a better 7.4 YPC against the Cardinals’ soft defense.

However, I don’t like the return of my timeshare and I Is that true They hate them in low-scoring teams. The Broncos take on the Los Angeles Rams in Week 16, which isn’t a terrible game at this point but it’s also not a case of shouting “Attack!” If forced, Murray could start, but I’d leave Mac on the bench.

Russell Gage, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

When a low frequency receiver comes out, you don’t expect his replacement to become a star offense, but that’s just what Gage did Julius Jones Missing Week 15. Gage led the Bucks in goals with 12, pulling in eight of them, including two grabbing touchdowns. Chris Goodwin All eight of his targets were caught and touched down, while Mike Evans He struggled to catch only 5 goals out of 10 against the Bengals.

This marks Gage’s best fantasy game of the season, and one that is unlikely to be repeated even if Jones misses Week 16. I think Evans is more likely to get back on track against the Cardinals’ generous defense. Put this chalk on as a shell.

Wannabe Heroes

Tyler Allgeier, RB, Atlanta Falcons

If I’ve learned one thing over the past two seasons, it’s this Cordarrell Patterson do not go away. He and Allgeier both scored in the loss against the Saints, but Allgeier caught the attention of fantasy managers with 139 rushing yards and 8.2 YPC against the Saints. He had three more carries than Patterson while Patterson had two more. The good news for Allgeier is that the Falcons will continue to run the ball like crazy, but with Desmond Reader In the mix now, there is the potential to split goal-line chances in three ways.

Tyler Allgeier put in a great fantasy performance in Week 15, but can managers trust him again? (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

Next up is the Ravens, a team whose defense is mediocre against the run. I’d start Allgeier over other timeshares like the Bucs or Dolphins or Bills but I consider someone like Dion Jackson against the Chargers in what should be a more retrograde role in place of Allgeier.

KJ Osborn, WR, Minnesota Vikings

you have written Kirk Cousins The playoff teams after the first half of Saturday’s game with the Vikings, but they went and added another miracle win to restart their insane season. Osborne W Justin Jefferson Both saw 16 goals and finished with nearly 30 fantasy points a day. even in Adam Thelin He managed to score, though his 3-41-1 streak pales in comparison to his teammates. Despite the Vikings cementing their pseudo-dominance with this dramatic victory, Osborne isn’t a player I’m most confident going into my fantasy season.

Next come the Giants, who can be a deceptively frustrating defense. Jefferson and Cousins ​​and Dalvin Cook They are the only Minnesota guys I really trust on my roster going into Week 16.

Noah Brown, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Speaking of teams with two star receivers for Week 15, Brown W Sir Lamb They ripped the Jaguars apart for a while on Sunday. Brown caught six of his nine targets for 49 yards and two runs, while Lamb caught all seven targets for 126 yards. Michael Gallup He only got two touchdowns while the Dallas tight ends combined for five. If you just look at the square points, you will appreciate that it was a relatively heavy game plan, with Ezekiel Elliott And the Tony Pollard Splitting 35 carries evenly and seven goals in a loss.

Although the Browns seem to have distanced themselves from Gallup in Week 15, the recent trend shows they are more similar (both have a similar number of goals and two touchdowns over their last three games, with Gallup’s 46.7 percent catch rate leading him to about two-thirds of Fantasy’s points Brown at that time). With a strong lean against Division 1 rival Philadelphia in Week 16, the Browns are someone I’d rather not have to start with. Maybe you have Deontay Johnson or DJ Moore Off the bench – Both are looking to recapture some of the magic and have friendlier encounters than the Browns in Week 16 (Raiders and Lions, respectively).

Hail-Mary plays for the 2QB/SuperFlex team

Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers have so much talent that their QB is automatically associated with a fantasy. So far it appears that Purdy is made in the San Francisco mold of playing a safety-first, conservative, ball-controlling QB. In his last three games, Purdy has thrown two touchdowns each, added one rushing touchdown and has generally protected the ball with just one turnover in that span (Week 13). His traffic yard numbers aren’t electrifying, but he has a knack for finding the open man and he finally caught it George Keitel It could be that guy. Looks like he’ll struggle to get more than one skilled player on his side Christian McCaffrey Achieve fantasy accolades per week, but if you are a starting person Daniel Jones, Matt Ryan, Ryan Tannehill or Andy Dalton In the 2QB league, Purdy is a surefire upgrade.

Desmond Reader, Atlanta Falcons

The attraction with the Ridder is part novelty and our bias toward new and exciting things, but also its ability to dash/scramble. He ran six times for 38 yards in the narrow loss to New Orleans while throwing 97 yards. He didn’t make any major mistakes, and his low 3.7 yards per completion average was still better than regular 2QB starters like Mac Jones (who had a much better match than Ridder in Week 15). It’s almost impossible for me to imagine a playoff team this is Desperate at QB, so while it’s worth paying attention to what the rookie does in the long run, it’s not worth starting at Week 16.

Brett Ribbian, Denver Broncos

He led the Broncos to their second-highest point total of the season, which honestly isn’t a high mark to pass because Denver is the lowest-scoring offense in the league. He completed an impressive 80.2 percent of his pass attempts while throwing one touchdown and one pick in the win over Arizona. This was a dream matchup for him, given that the Cardinals give up the second most fantasy points to opponents, and he still hasn’t broken the fantasy bank with just 7.7 fantasy points.

In his third year, Rypien looks destined to be a backup QB and should stay on the fantasy benches as well.

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