Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview, and Benefits – 12-25-2022

the Los Angeles Lakers (13-19, Pacific V) Visit the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas on Christmas afternoon to play Dallas Mavericks (17-16, Southwest III). Los Angeles has lost each of its last three games following a 134-130 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Friday night. During their current three-game losing streak, the Lakers have allowed an average of 132.7 points per game. Dallas beat the Houston Rockets 112-106 Friday night for their second straight game, and Luka Doncic scored 50 points in the win. Anthony Davis, Cole Swider and Juan Toscano Anderson outside Los Angeles. Dallas plays without Josh Green and Maxi Kleber, while Jaden Hardy, Reggie Bullock and Dorian Vinnie Smith are questionable.

Lakers need help on defense

Los Angeles is playing without its best edge protector, Anthony Davis, and his absence is evident on the court as the Lakers averaged 132.7 points per game over the last three games, resulting in three losses. On the season, Los Angeles allows an average of 117.8 points per game which is 26th. Opponents shoot 47.0% overall against the Lakers and 34.8% from behind the three-point line. Los Angeles allows an average of 46.3 rebounds per game which is 29th in the NBA and the Lakers average 44.8 boards per game. With Major Davis injured, LeBron James was the active leader with an average of 8.4 boards per contest. Davis averages a team best 2.1 blocked shots per game but without him in the field is the leader James averages 0.7 blocked shots per contest. Davis leads the Lakers in steals but James is second with a 1.2 average per game.

Los Angeles scores an average of 115.7 points per game, which is sixth in the NBA. The Lakers shoot 47.8% overall which is eighth best and 33.6% from behind the line which ranks 26th. Los Angeles has been hurting offense without Davis on the field because the big man is the leading scorer with an average of 27.4 points per game. James is the second leading scorer with an average of 27.1 points per game and five other Lakers players to average double figures in scoring. Russell Westbrook has a team best pass rate of 7.6 assists per game. Los Angeles averages 14.2 turnover ratio and has a 1.7 assist-to-turnover ratio.

The Dallas defense continues to change its shine

The Dallas Mavericks are sixth in the NBA in points allowed at 109.4 points per game. Opponents shoot 48.0% overall and 35.9% from behind the three-point line. Dallas allows an average of 43.2 rebounds per game which is 10th in the NBA, and the Mavericks average only 38.8 rebounds per game. The leading player is Luka Doncic with an average of 8.3 boards per game. Doncic is the leader in steals with an average of 1.7 per contest, while Christian Wood is the leader in steals with an average of 0.82 blocked shots per game.

Dallas is below average in scoring at 23rd with an average of 111.0 points per game. The Mavericks have 46.5% shooting percentage which is 20 and 3-point shooting percentage is 35.9% which is 14. Doncic is the leading scorer for Dallas with an average of 32.8 points per game. Doncic shoots 49.7% overall and 35.2% from behind the line. Wood is the second leading scorer, averaging 16.9 points per game, while Spencer Dinwiddie is third, averaging 16.5 points per game. Doncic is the assists leader with an 8.7 dish average in the competition.

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Evaluation:


Los Angeles struggles without Anthony Davis on the court. The Lakers have allowed an average of 132.7 points per game over their last three games resulting in three straight losses. Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in five of the last six games it has played on the road and in every one of the last 4 games. Los Angeles struggles on the road against an opponent with a home winning record, failing to cover the spread of each of the final five in this scenario. Head to head, the Lakers failed to cover the difference in each of the Final Four played in Dallas and in each of the five played overall between the two. Los Angeles ranks 26th in points allowed, at 117.8 points per game, and that continues to rise with Davis out with an injury. Davis leads Los Angeles in scoring, rebounding, steals, and blocked shots.

Take Mavs -8

Prediction: Mavericks -8

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Evaluation:


The Lakers can’t stop anyone. Los Angeles has allowed an average of 132.6 points per game, over the last three games all of which have ended. The Lakers lost 134 points to Charlotte, 134 points to Sacramento, and 130 points to Phoenix in each of those three games. The total has finished in each of the last five games Los Angeles has played on the road and in seven of the last nine games overall. The total is over in five of the last seven home games Dallas has played against the team that has a losing record on the road.

take over.

Prediction: Over 226.5

written by
Kevin Vallego, “Kevin F.”

Kevin grew up in a home dedicated solely to sports. Every afternoon he was ready to watch whatever sport was on TV After years of watching sports, he was introduced to the world of betting, stats, trends and odds quickly became Kevin’s best friend. Now, nearly two decades later, his life revolves around, writing about, and betting on sports. We’re thrilled to have Kevin on the Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams, and you should be glad to have him, too.


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